Tesla Stock Rejoins the Magnificent Seven Despite Its Declining EV Market Share

Elon Musk at the Cannes Lions International Festival Of Creativity on June 19, 2024 in Cannes, France.
Elon Musk at the Cannes Lions International Festival Of Creativity on June 19, 2024 in Cannes, France.
MARC PIASECKI—GETTY IMAGES

Tesla’s competition is fiercer than ever. That has done little, however, to quell a massive rally in the company’s stock price that has erased year-to-date losses and quieted for now questions of whether it still deserves to be part of the Magnificent Seven—a movie-inspired term that describes the tech giants (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft and Nvidia are the others) that account for the lion’s share of the stock market’s gains in recent years.

When Tesla shares dipped as low as $138.80 in April, however, Tesla barely clung to its place on the list of America’s top 10 largest companies. Pundits like CNBC’s Jim Cramer had already declared that the company had vacated its seat among some of the country’s most powerful and fastest-growing companies.

Boosted by Q2 deliveries that exceeded low expectations, however, Tesla’s massive rally continued Wednesday as shares traded at their highest level since September, closing the day at $263.26. Tesla’s market capitalization is now approaching $850 billion. That makes Tesla the eighth-largest U.S. company, though it still sits well-behind the $1.3 trillion market cap of Meta, the next-smallest member of the Magnificent Seven.

As Fortune’s Christiaan Hetzner noted earlier this week, Tesla bulls may see the firm as an artificial intelligence company, but it still needs to prove it can sell cars for now—a proposition that might be in doubt given a New York Times report, citing Cox Automotive, that Tesla no longer controls a majority of the American EV market.

Seth Goldstein, an equities strategist at Morningstar, told Fortune that he never believed focusing on Tesla’s EV market share was a good idea. As overall demand for electric vehicles climbs, he noted, Tesla’s market share should fall even if the company continues to grow.

“I think the more important number is, what are their deliveries and what’s their percent of the total auto market, including internal combustion engines?” Goldstein said.

Tesla’s deliveries beat expectations

At the beginning of the month, Tesla announced it had delivered almost 444,000 vehicles in Q2, just under a 5% drop from last year. As Hetzner noted last week, analysts had estimated that drop would be around 9%.

That number impressed Goldstein as did the record numbers from Tesla’s energy storage business. The company said it deployed 9.4 gigawatt hours of battery energy storage, its highest quarterly number yet and more than double the amount reported in Q1. Even small changes in expectations for high-growth stocks, Goldstein said, can heavily impact share prices.

“That shows that Tesla can still grow,” Goldstein said.  “It shows that maybe the worst is behind Tesla, and that they are turning things around.”

Awaiting news on robo-taxis and affordable vehicles

Investors may also be looking forward to Aug. 8, when Tesla is scheduled to reveal its Cybercab, the robo-taxi model expected to lack a steering wheel and pedals. Goldstein is curious if the unveiling features a concrete timeline or instead offers few details.

In the more immediate future, Goldstein wants to hear more about Tesla’s progress on producing a new, more affordable vehicle when the company hosts its next earnings call on July 23. Musk has said production could start as soon as 2025, which Goldstein said would enable deliveries to start growing again by 2026.

He thinks the market will react positively if that timeline remains intact.

“If they don’t commit to it again or give us any updates,” he said, “we could see the stock falter.”

Related Posts

The Secret in Season 3 of My Life with the Walter Boys That Will Make Your Jaw Drop: It’s Not About Jackie Anymore…

Forget Cole vs. Alex. The real love triangle in Season 3 is happening behind closed doors, in hushed voices, and it’s so forbidden the show had to…

The Kiss That Never Changes: From Youth to Wedding, Nick & Noah’s Three Stages in Culpa Nuestra Will Make You Believe in Forever.

Three movies. Three completely different moments in their lives. Three kisses that look exactly the same, and somehow mean everything. Culpa Mía showed us the first one:…

Ruby’s Laughing at a Picnic While James’s Burying His Mom – The Maxton Hall Scene That Broke the Internet in Half.

The World Between Us have spent two seasons watching Ruby Bell and James Beaufort circle each other like opposing magnets: one from a working-class family fighting for…

Mom vs. Marriage: ‘Purple Hearts 2’ Ignites a Steamy Sequel on December 20 – Luke and Cassie’s Forbidden Flame Faces Ultimate Family Fury!

Hold onto your dog tags and guitar picks, romance rebels – the heartbeat that thumped through Netflix’s 2022 sleeper hit Purple Hearts is back, bloodier and bolder…

Emily’s Roman Reinvention: ‘Emily in Paris’ Season 5 Drops Dec. 18 – New City, New Chaos, and a Love Triangle That’ll Make You Question Everything!

Buckle up, beret-wearing dreamers – the City of Light is getting an Italian upgrade, and Emily Cooper is serving more drama than a double espresso shot. Netflix…

Netflix Just Dropped THE Christmas Rom-Com of 2025 — and the Mystery Lead Actress Has Everyone Absolutely Obsessed! 😱

The snow began to fall the moment Minka Kelly stepped out of the taxi on Rue Saint-Dominique, soft, deliberate flakes that caught the golden glow of the…